Fixed term estimates | Basic | Precipitation | Temperature | Wind | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Est | (C.I.) | Est | (C.I.) | Est | (C.I.) | Est | (C.I.) | |||||||||
Intercept | 0.000 | (0.000–0.000)*** | 0.000 | (0.000–0.000)*** | 0.000 | (0.000–0.000)*** | 0.000 | (0.000–0.000)*** | ||||||||
Temperature (degrees Celsius) | 1.002 | (1.001–1.003)*** | 1.002 | (1.001–1.003)*** | 0.999 | (0.998–1.001) | 1.002 | (1.001–1.003)*** | ||||||||
Precipitation (mm) | 0.995 | (0.993–0.998)** | 0.996 | (0.993–0.999)* | 0.996 | (0.993–0.998)** | 0.995 | (0.993–0.998)** | ||||||||
Wind speed (m/s) | 0.994 | (0.991–0.997)*** | 0.994 | (0.991–0.997)*** | 0.994 | (0.991–0.997)*** | 0.993 | (0.987–0.999)* | ||||||||
Time of day (ref = 0–6) | ||||||||||||||||
6–12 | 0.365 | (0.358–0.372)*** | 0.365 | (0.358–0.372)*** | 0.364 | (0.357–0.371)*** | 0.365 | (0.358–0.372)*** | ||||||||
12–18 | 1.000 | (0.985–1.015) | 1.000 | (0.985–1.015) | 0.997 | (0.983–1.012) | 1.000 | (0.985–1.015) | ||||||||
18–24 | 0.860 | (0.848–0.873)*** | 0.860 | (0.848–0.873)*** | 0.858 | (0.846–0.871)*** | 0.860 | (0.848–0.873)*** | ||||||||
Season (ref = Fall) | ||||||||||||||||
Spring | 1.024 | (1.008–1.04)** | 1.024 | (1.008–1.039)** | 1.024 | (1.009–1.04)** | 1.024 | (1.008–1.04)** | ||||||||
Summer | 0.911 | (0.894–0.927)*** | 0.911 | (0.894–0.928)*** | 0.901 | (0.883–0.918)*** | 0.910 | (0.894–0.927)*** | ||||||||
Winter | 0.907 | (0.890–0.924)*** | 0.907 | (0.890–0.925)*** | 0.904 | (0.886–0.921)*** | 0.907 | (0.890–0.924)*** | ||||||||
Smoothing splines | EDF | EDF | EDF | EDF | ||||||||||||
Baseline surface | 23.69*** | |||||||||||||||
No rain | 23.90*** | |||||||||||||||
Rain | 23.77*** | |||||||||||||||
Surface T3 | 23.81*** | 23.85*** | ||||||||||||||
Surface T2 | 23.76*** | 23.73*** | ||||||||||||||
Surface T1 | 23.80*** | 23.68*** | ||||||||||||||
Model fit | ||||||||||||||||
R2 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | ||||||||||||
Dev.expl | 0.232 | 0.232 | 0.233 | 0.233 | ||||||||||||
N | 20,700,575 | 20,700,575 | 20,700,575 | 20,700,575 |