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Table 5 Interrupted time series models of fraud and cybercrime

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

  Investment and advance fee fraud Consumer fraud offline Consumer fraud online Other fraud Cyber-dependent crime
(Intercept) 37.7*** 10.7*** 59.7*** 55.1*** 14.4***
Time 0.5*** 0.2*** 0.8*** 1.6*** 0.2***
First lockdown − 23.1 − 3.5 3.3 − 46.8* 8.7
Time since first lockdown 5.8+ 1.9+ 6.2 11.0* − 1.1
Second lockdown 24.4 9.2 7.8 32.2 − 5.4
Time since second lockdown − 6.5 − 2.2 24.2 -6.6 13.3*
Third lockdown 23.1 − 2.0 55.5* 32.0 3.0
Time since third lockdown − 3.2 2.3 − 1.9 7.7 0.6
Seasonality 7.6+ 0.1 − 5.5 6.8 3.1
Adjusted R2 0.38 0.48 0.67 0.74 0.46
  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1