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Table 4 Interrupted time series models of theft

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

 

Theft from person

Bicycle theft

Theft of/ from vehicle

Shoplifting

(Intercept)

40.8***

47.1***

431.6***

545.3***

Time

− 0.0

0.2+

− 2.8***

− 0.1

First lockdown

− 20.0*

− 13.9

− 30.1

− 263.2***

Time since first lockdown

− 0.1

− 0.4

0.6

27.0*

Second lockdown

− 33.7*

44.1

15.9

68.8

Time since second lockdown

7.5

− 26.2*

− 13.7

− 73.9+

Third lockdown

− 30.3**

− 18.6

− 53.1

− 319.6***

Time since third lockdown

2.2

− 6.5

7.7

43.1*

Seasonality

0.6

30.3***

− 17.6+

− 8.3

Adjusted R2

0.46

0.47

0.77

0.57

  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1