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Table 4 Interrupted time series models of theft

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

  Theft from person Bicycle theft Theft of/ from vehicle Shoplifting
(Intercept) 40.8*** 47.1*** 431.6*** 545.3***
Time − 0.0 0.2+ − 2.8*** − 0.1
First lockdown − 20.0* − 13.9 − 30.1 − 263.2***
Time since first lockdown − 0.1 − 0.4 0.6 27.0*
Second lockdown − 33.7* 44.1 15.9 68.8
Time since second lockdown 7.5 − 26.2* − 13.7 − 73.9+
Third lockdown − 30.3** − 18.6 − 53.1 − 319.6***
Time since third lockdown 2.2 − 6.5 7.7 43.1*
Seasonality 0.6 30.3*** − 17.6+ − 8.3
Adjusted R2 0.46 0.47 0.77 0.57
  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1