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Table 2 Interrupted time series models of drug crimes, damage and public order

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

 

Possession of drugs

Drug trafficking

Public order and possession of weapons

Criminal damage

(Intercept)

337.9***

71.0***

174.2***

1647.1***

Time

4.4***

0.2+

0.0

− 4.1***

First lockdown

− 75.2+

− 20.8*

− 31.5

− 250.3*

Time since first lockdown

5.1

5.7**

9.5*

54.1*

Second lockdown

− 48.7

1.2

45.1

464.0*

Time since second lockdown

31.1

5.3

− 8.5

− 181.9+

Third lockdown

− 99.1+

− 15.2

− 1.8

− 110.0

Time since third lockdown

22.7

9.3*

3.0

46.1

Seasonality

− 6.5

− 5.7+

20.6***

107.6**

Adjusted R2

0.76

0.29

0.19

0.36

  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1