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Table 2 Interrupted time series models of drug crimes, damage and public order

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

  Possession of drugs Drug trafficking Public order and possession of weapons Criminal damage
(Intercept) 337.9*** 71.0*** 174.2*** 1647.1***
Time 4.4*** 0.2+ 0.0 − 4.1***
First lockdown − 75.2+ − 20.8* − 31.5 − 250.3*
Time since first lockdown 5.1 5.7** 9.5* 54.1*
Second lockdown − 48.7 1.2 45.1 464.0*
Time since second lockdown 31.1 5.3 − 8.5 − 181.9+
Third lockdown − 99.1+ − 15.2 − 1.8 − 110.0
Time since third lockdown 22.7 9.3* 3.0 46.1
Seasonality − 6.5 − 5.7+ 20.6*** 107.6**
Adjusted R2 0.76 0.29 0.19 0.36
  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1