Skip to main content

Table 1 Interrupted time series models of violent and sexual crimes

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

  Violence with injury Violence without injury Sexual offences Robbery
(Intercept) 1186.9*** 1342.5*** 242.9*** 56.9***
Time − 1.7* 0.9 1.0*** − 0.1
First lockdown − 257.7** − 301.4*** − 84.2*** − 19.5*
Time since first lockdown 37.8* 43.2* 11.5* 1.8
Second lockdown − 184.6 − 40.8 − 53.2 − 13.9
Time since second lockdown 18.2 18.1 1.5 6.6
Third lockdown − 376.3*** − 419.4*** − 41.8 − 13.9
Time since third lockdown 82.3** 123.8*** 10.0 0.0
Seasonality 88.0*** 91.8*** 10.3 1.7
Adjusted R2 0.51 0.35 0.30 0.31
  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1