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Table 1 Interrupted time series models of violent and sexual crimes

From: Offline crime bounces back to pre-COVID levels, cyber stays high: interrupted time-series analysis in Northern Ireland

 

Violence with injury

Violence without injury

Sexual offences

Robbery

(Intercept)

1186.9***

1342.5***

242.9***

56.9***

Time

− 1.7*

0.9

1.0***

− 0.1

First lockdown

− 257.7**

− 301.4***

− 84.2***

− 19.5*

Time since first lockdown

37.8*

43.2*

11.5*

1.8

Second lockdown

− 184.6

− 40.8

− 53.2

− 13.9

Time since second lockdown

18.2

18.1

1.5

6.6

Third lockdown

− 376.3***

− 419.4***

− 41.8

− 13.9

Time since third lockdown

82.3**

123.8***

10.0

0.0

Seasonality

88.0***

91.8***

10.3

1.7

Adjusted R2

0.51

0.35

0.30

0.31

  1. ***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, +p-value < 0.1