Table 2 Posterior Inference, Bayesian Structural Time-Series Model
From: The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health calls for police service
Average | Cumulative | |
|---|---|---|
Actual | 13 | 557 |
Prediction (SD) | 11 (0.78) | 457 (32.57) |
95% CI | [9.4, 12] | [393.9, 520] |
Absolute Effect (SD) | 2.4 (0.78) | 100.3 (32.57) |
95% CI | [0.87, 3.9] | [35.55, 163.1] |
Relative Effect (SD) | 22% (7.1%) | 22% (7.1%) |
95% CI | [8%, 36%] | [8%, 36%] |