Skip to main content

Table 1 Mean square error (MSE), false positive rates (FP) by race, and NIJFM scores on held-out (50%) test data with competition cutoff of 0.5 for decision boundary. Bootstrap standard errors reported in parentheses

From: A note on the multiplicative fairness score in the NIJ recidivism forecasting challenge

Model MSE FP (black) FP (white) NIJFM
Linear Reg. 0.192 (0.002) 0.048 (0.004) 0.030 (0.003) 0.793 (0.005)
Logistic Reg. 0.192 (0.002) 0.067 (0.004) 0.042 (0.004) 0.787 (0.005)
Linear Reg. (Trunc.) 0.192 (0.002) 0 0 0.808 (0.002)
Linear Reg. (Shrink) 0.192 (0.002) 0.034 (0.003) 0.030 (0.003) 0.804 (0.004)
Convex Surrogate 0.193 (0.002) 0.043 (0.003) 0.026 (0.003) 0.794 (0.004)
BFGS 0.193 (0.002) 0.035 (0.003) 0.021 (0.003) 0.796 (0.004)
Linear Reg. (Balanced) 0.192 (0.002) 0.048 (0.004) 0.030 (0.003) 0.793 (0.005)
Linear Reg. (Group) 0.192 (0.002) 0.045 (0.004) 0.033 (0.003) 0.798 (0.005)
XG Boost 0.192 (0.002) 0.045 (0.004) 0.030 (0.003) 0.796 (0.005)
XG Boost (Trunc.) 0.193 (0.002) 0 0 0.807 (0.002)
XG Boost (Shrink) 0.192 (0.002) 0.033 (0.003) 0.030 (0.003) 0.804 (0.003)