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Table 4 Point estimates for plot presented in Fig. 3 with percentage reduction in total crime and public transport passenger numbers observed between Feb. 29 to May 24, 2020, compared to counterfactual estimates based on ARIMA models estimated using data from Jan. 1, 2017 to Feb. 28, 2020

From: Crime and COVID-19: effect of changes in routine activities in Mexico City

  Post-COVID-19 [95% CI] Post-lockdown [95% CI]
All crimes −30.6% [−43.4%, −14.1%] −42.7% [−53.3%, −28.8%]
Violent robbery −31.0% [−47.6%, −7.4%] −42.7% [−56.6%, −22.7%]
Non-violent robbery −30.9% [−51.2%, 1.4%] −42.2% [−59.6%, −14.4%]
Robbery against residence −45.6% [−67.1%, −3.4%] −58.6% [−75.0%, −26.2%]
Serious violent crime (non-sexual) −27.1% [−53.2%, 20.3%] −39.0% [−61.0%, 1.1%]
Sexual violence −53.3% [−78.4%, 21.5%] −66.5% [−84.6%, −11.9%]
Domestic violence −26.0% [−49.6%, 13.4%] −36.5% [−57.1%, −1.9%]
VAW helpline calls 27.6% [−19.5%, 115.1%] 18.1% [−26.0%, 101.0%]
BRT + SCT passengers (in millions) −53.3% [−70.1%, −22.7%] −68.1% [−79.7%, −46.7%]