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Table 2 Performance of RTM using hit rate as the forecasting performance measure

From: Systematic review and meta-analysis of risk terrain modelling (RTM) as a spatial forecasting method

Study

Crime type

Hit rate (high-very high risk cells)

Valasik et al., (2019)

Lethal violence

23%

Kocher and Leitner (2015)

Burglary

25%

Kocher and Leitner (2015)

Auto theft

25.7%

Giménez-Santana et al., (2018a, 2018b)

Assault

29%

Giménez-Santana et al., (2018a, 2018b)

Homicide

32%

Valasik (2018)

Gang violence

33%

Dugato et al., (2018)

Burglary

35.7%

Kocher and Leitner (2015)

Assault (spring)

37%

Anyinam (2015)

Robbery

39%

Giménez-Santana et al., (2018a, 2018b)

Theft

40%

Ohyama and Amemiya (2018)

Thefts from vehicles

40.9%

Anyinam (2015)

Non-fatal shootings

41%

Giménez-Santana et al., (2018a, 2018b)

Alcohol related traffic crashes

41%

Caplan (2011)

Shootings

42%

Dugato (2013)

Robbery

43%

Onat and Gul (2018)

Terrorist acts

43%

Kocher and Leitner (2015)

Robbery

43.5%

Kocher and Leitner (2015)

Assault (summer)

44.4%

Caplan et al., (2013a, 2013b)

Violent crime

45%

Drawve et al., (2016)

Gun crime

48%

Marchment et al., (2019)

Bombings

50%

Marchment et al., (2019)

Bomb hoaxes

50%

Daley et al., (2016)

Child maltreatment

52%

Anyinam (2015)

Homicide

57%

Escuerdo & Ramírez (2018)

Illicit drug markets

64%

Dugato et al., (2017)

Mafia homicide

85%

Onat et al., (2018)

Drug crime

85%