Fig. 3
From: The U-shaped crime recovery during COVID-19: evidence from national crime rates in Mexico
Event study: heterogeneity by population and crime levels. Source: Mexico’s National Public Security System (Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública). Plotted coefficients are event-study dummy variables, βq. Each plotted point represents the number of months before and after the lockdown. Solid lines represent point estimates. Dashed and dotted lines display the 95 percent confidence intervals. Crimes are measured per 100,000 persons. Baseline fixed effects are included at the municipality, month, and year. Vertical lines show the start and end of the lockdown. The long-dashed red line shows the month before the start of the lockdown and the short-dashed green line indicates the end of the lockdown. The specification is weighted by the municipal-level population. Robust standard errors are clustered at the municipal level. Dark purple graphs in the first column shows high population municipalities. Light purple in the first column shows low/middle population municipalities. In the second column, dark blue shows high crime municipalities and light blue plots low/middle crime municipalities. See Tables 5, 6, 7 and 8 for exact coefficients and standard errors