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Table 7 Structural break analysis results, burglary

From: Somehow I always end up alone: COVID-19, social isolation and crime in Queensland, Australia

 

Pre-lockdown average

Post-lockdown average

Overall trend

Lockdown

Lockdown trend

Stages

Stages trend

Adjusted-R2

Capricornia

38.62

25.47**

0.086**

− 9.879**

− 2.143**

4.269**

2.002**

0.742

Darling Downs

37.89

27.13**

0.098**

− 6.805**

− 2.053**

5.946**

1.767**

0.469

Far North

71.38

42.13**

0.327**

− 31.535**

− 3.921**

8.871**

3.052**

0.715

Gold Coast

76.45

73.07

0.139*

21.023**

− 5.166**

4.889**

1.826**

0.715

Ipswich

36.72

11.73**

0.109**

− 9.266**

− 2.842**

− 1.009

1.841**

0.922

Logan

74.21

55.20**

0.199**

− 7.223**

− 4.103**

3.078**

3.694**

0.841

Mackay

28.23

15.80**

0.006

− 5.086

− 1.069**

1.298**

0.964

0.548

Moreton

38.80

31.00**

0.069**

− 4.853

− 0.135

2.386**

− 2.146**

0.668

Mount Isa

15.29

9.80**

0.054

− 3.611

− 0.719*

0.609

0.903**

0.533

North Brisbane

106.96

78.13**

0.584**

− 12.223

− 6.447**

8.399**

1.639**

0.886

South Brisbane

122.21

86.27**

0.184*

− 4.108

− 6.652**

10.324**

4.664**

0.655

South West

18.90

13.47**

0.015*

− 3.265**

− 0.508**

2.704**

− 0.039

0.675

Sunshine Coast

31.24

25.00**

0.042*

6.021**

− 3.394**

0.055

4.879**

0.683

Townsville

67.93

50.87**

0.336**

2.615

− 7.909**

15.071**

6.798**

0.402

Wide Bay Burnett

31.34

21.67**

0.032

− 7.351**

− 0.966*

3.371**

0.858*

0.703

  1. * 10% significance level; ** 5% significance level