Somehow I always end up alone: COVID-19, social isolation and crime in Queensland, Australia

Crime Science

Table 3 Structural break analysis results, assault

	Pre-lockdown average	Post-lockdown average	Overall trend	Lockdown	Lockdown trend	Stages	Stages trend	Adjusted-R²
Capricornia	24.48	19.27**	− 0.035	− 4.741**	0.304	1.190	0.117	0.547
Darling Downs	17.30	13.60**	0.002	− 3.518**	0.054	2.766**	− 0.041	0.625
Far North	46.99	41.47**	0.118**	− 4.914**	− 0.989**	− 0.395	1.919**	0.605
Gold Coast	60.60	49.47**	0.068**	− 7.421**	− 0.036	5.083**	− 1.826**	0.812
Ipswich	17.76	6.67**	0.008	− 4.233**	− 0.790**	− 0.531*	0.139	0.902
Logan	27.57	23.27**	− 0.009	− 1.334	− 0.403*	0.484	1.309**	0.598
Mackay	13.82	13.00	0.026	3.713*	− 1.009**	− 0.496	1.621**	0.250
Moreton	20.06	16.33**	− 0.001	− 2.706**	0.463**	1.470**	− 1.873**	0.447
Mount Isa	18.50	13.00**	− 0.006	− 6.044**	0.0507*	0.625	− 0.212	0.589
North Brisbane	44.53	32.47**	0.016	− 5.694**	− 0.729**	3.595**	0.868**	0.845
South Brisbane	38.00	30.87**	− 0.097**	− 5.537**	0.453	2.689**	0.362	0.528
South West	13.31	14.20**	0.016**	− 0.391	− 0.432**	− 0.581**	1.024**	0.627
Sunshine Coast	15.79	12.27**	− 0.001	− 3.039**	− 0.015	1.957**	− 0.373**	0.469
Townsville	36.53	32.20*	− 0.010	− 1.191	0.239	1.083*	− 1.479**	0.437
Wide Bay Burnett	19.83	17.40	0.052**	− 3.644**	− 0.451	2.632**	0.892**	0.583

ISSN: 2193-7680