Somehow I always end up alone: COVID-19, social isolation and crime in Queensland, Australia

Crime Science

Table 11 Structural break analysis results, fraud

	Pre-lockdown average	Post-lockdown average	Overall trend	Lockdown	Lockdown trend	Stages	Stages trend	Adjusted-R²
Capricornia	13.09	6.73**	0.028**	− 2.367	− 0.189	− 0.732	− 0.851**	0.454
Darling Downs	14.67	6.33**	− 0.012	− 5.907**	0.051	0.656	− 0.292	0.592
Far North	18.39	12.40**	− 0.049**	3.140	− 0.237	− 1.527**	− 1.418**	0.603
Gold Coast	53.37	29.13**	− 0.143**	− 14.184**	− 0.351	7.151**	− 0.951	0.789
Ipswich	17.66	4.07**	0.002	− 0.884	− 1.675**	− 1.712**	1.242**	0.760
Logan	30.37	19.80**	0.071**	− 5.368*	− 1.079**	2.594**	0.474	0.626
Mackay	9.70	4.00**	0.043*	− 1.876*	− 0.136	− 1.348**	− 0.939*	0.494
Moreton	20.23	11.93**	− 0.044*	− 6.012**	0.324	2.714**	− 0.913*	0.475
Mount Isa	1.93	0.40**	0.018**	− 0.698**	− 0.252**	− 0.092	0.166**	0.522
North Brisbane	62.02	34.73**	− 0.050	− 11.786**	− 2.379**	4.534**	2.220**	0.767
South Brisbane	53.02	36.60**	− 0.004	− 4.621	− 1.148**	− 0.282	− 0.001	0.639
South West	4.13	3.13	0.022**	− 2.321**	0.216*	0.659**	− 1.118**	0.393
Sunshine Coast	16.94	9.13**	− 0.058**	− 1.948	− 0.702	3.569**	0.261	0.446
Townsville	12.84	4.20**	− 0.005	− 1.882	− 1.289**	3.212**	1.069**	0.668
Wide Bay Burnett	14.12	10.07	− 0.025	− 4.579*	0.563**	0.622	0.034	0.478

ISSN: 2193-7680