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TableĀ 1 Terms used in SARIMA models for estimating crime frequency without coronavirus. All models had zero seasonal MA periods

From: Initial evidence on the relationship between the coronavirus pandemic and crime in the United States

Crime typeCityMinMeanSDMaxAR periodsMA periodsSeasonal AR periodsDegrees of freedomMASE
Serious assaults in publicAustin, TX366511894011520.57
Baltimore, MD2065181131111540.55
Dallas, TX163610640011060.55
Los Angeles, CA130210312813011530.58
Louisville, KY193182011540.61
Montgomery County, MD052120111300.56
Nashville, TN562331693011540.34
Phoenix, AZ23428630011560.54
Serious assaults in residencesAustin, TX5889121362111530.56
Baltimore, MD3358602011540.58
Dallas, TX6197450111050.47
Los Angeles, CA68106161621111540.57
Louisville, KY2116361111540.46
Montgomery County, MD173170011310.55
Nashville, TN651231221211530.31
Phoenix, AZ254910791111540.44
Residential burglaryAustin, TX2053131015011510.44
Baltimore, MD1580231392011540.41
Boston, MA10288522011540.48
Chicago, IL202376825844111510.35
Los Angeles, CA145209282934011520.46
Louisville, KY3870161113011530.49
Memphis, TN59123221981111540.52
Minneapolis, MN1551161072011540.46
Montgomery County, MD4216403011280.46
Phoenix, AZ86143282191011550.39
San Francisco, CA285310811111540.45
Non-residential burglaryAustin, TX11339591111540.56
Baltimore, MD2049181622111530.44
Chicago, IL4289211742011540.51
Los Angeles, CA69119201841111540.52
Louisville, KY11318571111540.56
Memphis, TN134212871111540.47
Minneapolis, MN2135331111540.56
Montgomery County, MD075520011310.57
Philadelphia, PA13268705011510.58
Phoenix, AZ24539802011540.47
San Francisco, CA1451251111111550.23
Theft of vehicleAustin, TX234511781111540.49
Baltimore, MD4682151452011540.50
Chicago, IL264398655962011540.50
Los Angeles, CA255344374623011530.41
Louisville, KY4778131184011520.45
Memphis, TN3879171633111520.41
Minneapolis, MN1544141311101550.51
Montgomery County, MD7175410011310.58
Philadelphia, PA23449691011550.54
Phoenix, AZ89132161810011560.54
San Francisco, CA68105191571111540.45
Tucson, AZ234310741111540.46
Washington, DC254611901211530.50
Theft from vehicleAustin, TX120202393251211530.39
Baltimore, MD54118272170111550.46
Los Angeles, CA537632417432011540.49
Louisville, KY5097201563111520.45
Memphis, TN82149312281111540.52
Minneapolis, MN2470211283011530.46
Montgomery County, MD2585181411111290.42
Philadelphia, PA149258393691111540.52
San Francisco, CA337545847431111540.33
Tucson, AZ4073151162111530.38
Washington, DC108214413202011540.38
Personal robberyBaltimore, MD4790201640211540.51
Boston, MA6186422311510.55
Chicago, IL170344815442011540.41
Dallas, TX062181080011100.57
Los Angeles, CA119168192270011560.53
Louisville, KY5176363011530.53
Memphis, TN245313860011560.58
Minneapolis, MN7269512211520.44
Montgomery County, MD074210111300.55
Philadelphia, PA4998181590011560.54
San Francisco, CA8205340111550.58
Tucson, AZ3124241211530.56