A comparative analysis to forecast apartment burglaries in Vienna, Austria, based on repeat and near repeat victimization

Table 5 Capture rates of apartment burglaries using the near repeat chain method (in %) in Vienna, Austria from November 2013 to November 2016

Spatial distance (m)	Temporal distance/forecast period
Spatial distance (m)	Up to 1 day	Up to 3 days	Up to 5 days	Up to 7 days	Up to 9 days
0–100	0.3**	0.6**	0.9**	1.4**	1.9**
0–300	1.3**	4.6**	8.5**	12.9**	17.3**
0–500	4.0**	14.5**	24.5**	35.1**	43.2*
0–700	9.5**	27.4**	42.4**	54.2*	62.6*
0–900	16.0**	40.9**	57.3**	68.0*	74.3*

Temporal distances range from 0 to n days; forecasting periods range from 1 to n days. Statistical significances estimated using a Monte Carlo simulation
* Capture rates possess a level of significance of p < 0.05
** Capture rates possess a level of significance of p = 0.01

ISSN: 2193-7680