Table 1 Probability ranges for verbal descriptions, taken from Morgan (2009)
From: Using Bayesian networks to guide the assessment of new evidence in an appeal case
Verbal term | Probability range |
|---|---|
Virtually certain | >0.99 |
Very likely | 0.9–0.99 |
Likely | 0.66–0.9 |
Medium likelihood | 0.33–0.66 |
Unlikely | 0.1–0.33 |
Very unlikely | 0.01–0.1 |
Exceptionally unlikely | <0.01 |