Equity, justice and the crime drop: the case of burglary in England and Wales

Crime Science

Table 1 Burglary incidence change across socio-economic groups in England and Wales from 1993 to 2008/09

	Estimated number of burglaries per 1000 households		Percentage change, 1993–2008/09
	1993	2008/09	Percentage change, 1993–2008/09
Base household: White household representative person (HRP); non-lone parent; one adult household; owner occupier; no car; annual income of £10,000-29,999; house almost never/never occupied; without neighbourhood watch; South East rural area	69	31	−55.32

Non-base household and area characteristics with regards to	Sample size (%)^c
Non-base household and area characteristics with regards to	1993	2008/09
Non-white ethnicity of HRP	4.4	6.4	76	46*	−39.59
Lone parents	5.1	4.6	108*	52*	−51.21
Number of adults
Two adults	54.2	52.2	67	21*	−68.75
More than two adults	16.3	15.4	59	21*	−64.94
Tenure
Rented^a/social rented (public housing)	29.5	16.2	104*	59*	−42.77
Rented^a/private rented	29.5	10.1	104*	44*	−57.31
Number of cars
One car	45.4	42.0	68	24*	−65.13
Two cars	21.6	29.1	54⁺	27	−49.90
Three + cars	4.6	8.4	61	29	−52.24
Annual income
Less than £5000	20.0	5.2	71	29	−58.69
£5000–£9999	20.0	11.2	71	29	−59.88
£30,000–£49,999^b	12.3	18.5	87⁺	30	−65.23
At least £50,000^b	12.3	12.7	87⁺	40⁺	−54.41
House empty
Sometimes^a/less than 3 h	40.7	33.2	84	42*	−49.37
Often^a/3–5 h	51.8	19.0	78	55*	−30.20
Often^a/more than 5 h	51.8	36.2	78	40⁺	−48.65
Neighbourhood watch	24.2	15.7	60	24⁺	−59.66
Inner city area type	23.0	7.8	100*	63*	−37.24
Region
North^a/Northeast	7.3	6.9	113	36	−67.79
Yorkshire/Humberside	10.6	9.0	154*	50*	−67.57
Northwest	13.0	11.4	139*	42⁺	−70.07
East Midlands	8.1	11.4	86	43⁺	−49.91
West Midlands	10.0	9.6	114	31	−73.26
East Anglia	4.0	12.7	56	38	−31.54
Southwest	8.7	10.6	85	38	−55.20
Wales	5.3	9.3	91	25	−72.25
Greater London	12.6	8.0	127*	42	−67.03
Number of observations	12,845	39,841

* p ≤ 0.05; ⁺0.05 < p ≤ 0.10
^aIn the 1993 model
^bIn the 1993 model ‘at least £30,000′
^cThe percentage sample sizes from each socio-economic group for the 1993 data are based on (Tseloni et al. 2004) pp. 77–78

ISSN: 2193-7680