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Table 3 Summary of findings

From: Five tests for a theory of the crime drop

Hypothesis

Test

 

Preliminary

Cross-national

Prior crime

E-crime &

Variable

 

empirical

 

increase

phone theft

trajectories

Strong economy

x

x

x

x

x

Concealed weapons laws

x

x

✔

x

x

Capital punishment

x

x

✔

x

x

Gun control laws

x

x

✔

x

x

Rising prison population

✔

x

x

x

x

Policing strategies

✔

x

✔

x

x

More police

✔

x

✔

x

x

Legalization of abortion

✔

x

✔

x

x

Immigration

✔

✔

x

x

x

Consumer confidence

✔

✔

x

x

x

Waning crack market

✔

x

✔

x

x

Childhood lead

✔

✔

✔

x

x

Changing demographics

✔

✔

x

x

x

Civilizing process

✔

✔

✔

x

x

Improved security

✔

✔

✔

✔

✔

  1. Legend: ✔ = Pass. x = Fail.
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Crime Science

ISSN: 2193-7680

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